gheigs25
0x8b6d7947c975652497defabc2456d0d4b0e05b50
- Realised P&L
- $57.38
- Volume
- $19.5k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $67.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.57at 0.339Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
- +$30.84at 0.004Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$18.40at 0.450Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
- +$12.37at 0.018Trump announce run for 3rd term?
- +$3.94at 0.211Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 10:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 08:47 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.1209093128 | $20.00 |
| 07-13 11:34 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? | BUY | 0.1099999956 | $20.00 |
| 06-30 15:24 | Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.1309999641 | $3.00 |
| 06-30 15:23 | Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.0419999804 | $2.00 |
| 06-30 15:23 | Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.0224193176 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 15:23 | Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.0689999863 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 08:29 | Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 06-18 09:18 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | SELL | 0.0213496904 | $3.72 |
| 06-18 09:18 | Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.014 | $4.00 |
| 06-18 09:17 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.4 | $11.76 |
| 06-15 10:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 10:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |