PolyBot

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Traders

gheigs25

0x8b6d7947c975652497defabc2456d0d4b0e05b50

Realised P&L
$57.38
Volume
$19.5k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$67.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? · Yes0.1100.157$28.45+$8.45
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.1210.172$28.45+$8.45
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0020.005$5.50+$3.50
Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0010.001$3.00+$0.00
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0020.002$1.50$0.50
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0360.004$0.55$4.45
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Macron out by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Up0.0480.000$0.00$2.00
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET · Down0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
US military action against Iran before August? · No0.1000.000$0.00$15.00
Will Israel invade Iran before July? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 10:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.1$1.00
08-04 10:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
08-04 10:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.2$1.00
07-27 08:47Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.1209093128$20.00
07-13 11:34Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?BUY0.1099999956$20.00
06-30 15:24Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY0.1309999641$3.00
06-30 15:23Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY0.0419999804$2.00
06-30 15:23Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY0.0224193176$1.00
06-30 15:23Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY0.0689999863$5.00
06-23 08:29Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.001$3.00
06-18 09:18Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?SELL0.0213496904$3.72
06-18 09:18Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.014$4.00
06-18 09:17OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?SELL0.4$11.76
06-15 10:19Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETBUY0.04$1.00
06-15 10:18Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETBUY0.059999946$1.00