EdgarCaycey
0x8b6cbc09f98064816e6fc1c9bba2171b8ad864b4
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $286.6k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $7.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.4kat 0.226Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
- +$2.1kat 0.333Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$788.14at 0.130Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$618.73at 0.530Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$422.89at 0.528Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 10:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 10:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 10:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 08:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 07:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 07:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 07:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $6.26 |
| 09-13 07:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 07:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 07:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 07:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 07:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 04:30 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.96 |
| 09-12 00:54 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |