PolyBot

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Traders

EdgarCaycey

0x8b6cbc09f98064816e6fc1c9bba2171b8ad864b4

Realised P&L
$-3.5k
Volume
$286.6k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$7.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.0890.051$2.84$2.05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? · Yes0.0100.002$2.25$12.45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? · Yes0.0220.144$1.91+$1.61
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.2000.155$0.78$0.23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Down0.6900.000$0.00$1.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? · Yes0.3570.000$0.00$152.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$14.52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$0.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? · Yes0.5550.000$0.00$13.73
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$34.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Down0.0990.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 10:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
09-13 10:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETBUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-13 10:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-13 10:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-13 08:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-13 07:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY0.6799999946$10.00
09-13 07:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY0.5$1.00
09-13 07:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETSELL0.99$6.26
09-13 07:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY0.7899999905$5.00
09-13 07:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-13 07:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.1699999983$2.00
09-13 07:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-13 07:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.109999989$1.00
09-13 04:30Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?BUY0.01$0.96
09-12 00:54Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.2$1.00