PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8b62edB7c0ed4BcCDaE906e01E4f50Dda8daC3cb-1768460251127

0x8b62edb7c0ed4bccdae906e01e4f50dda8dac3cb

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$44.9k
Markets traded
260
Open portfolio
$36.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded260
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5500.525$28.64$1.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? · Yes0.5900.450$7.63$2.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up0.3200.000$0.00$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 3? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up0.6090.000$0.00$67.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Up0.6790.000$0.00$25.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 27? · Yes0.2510.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 26? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$2.01
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 4? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00$10.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Down0.0470.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Up0.0550.000$0.00$51.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Down0.3990.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 16:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?BUY0.5899999841$10.00
09-22 16:50Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?SELL0.37$1.21
09-22 16:50Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.47$10.68
09-22 16:48Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?SELL0.6$1.50
09-19 00:23Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.4399999947$10.00
09-19 00:23Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5499999954$30.00
09-15 23:02Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.6099999116$2.00
09-15 23:02Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.4$1.00
09-11 22:01Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8099999789$15.00
09-09 02:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.459999988$10.00
08-24 00:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETSELL0.2251370432$5.42
08-24 00:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY0.5599999776$5.00
08-24 00:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY0.6599999842$10.00
08-24 00:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETSELL0.55$17.89
08-24 00:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY0.6199999864$10.00