0x8b62edB7c0ed4BcCDaE906e01E4f50Dda8daC3cb-1768460251127
0x8b62edb7c0ed4bccdae906e01e4f50dda8dac3cb
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $44.9k
- Markets traded
- 260
- Open portfolio
- $36.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded260
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$416.42at 0.110US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$63.40at 0.411Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 11?
- +$54.75at 0.058Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on April 18?
- +$41.96at 0.065Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
- +$28.39at 0.410Will Trump say "Insane asylum" during Iowa speech?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 16:50 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.21 |
| 09-22 16:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.47 | $10.68 |
| 09-22 16:48 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | SELL | 0.6 | $1.50 |
| 09-19 00:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 00:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5499999954 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 23:02 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 23:02 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 22:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8099999789 | $15.00 |
| 09-09 02:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 00:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | SELL | 0.2251370432 | $5.42 |
| 08-24 00:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 08-24 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | SELL | 0.55 | $17.89 |
| 08-24 00:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |