PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x8B5A2A371DE832fC1750c1E1E97Fa5496C30B95D-1761755360740

0x8b5a2a371de832fc1750c1e1e97fa5496c30b95d

Realised P&L
$-6.6k
Volume
$499.9k
Markets traded
585
Open portfolio
$22.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded585
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3580.355$16.3k−$132.43
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3080.432$1.5k+$441.64
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6400.715$1.2k+$130.81
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0930.044$863.12−$961.83
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2470.360$524.98+$164.98
Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2790.470$421.29+$171.29
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1180.051$176.77−$228.77
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0090.002$155.43−$835.61
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.2820.185$154.77−$81.22
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4460.130$145.74−$354.25
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.705$115.82+$0.82
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? · Yes0.4170.330$109.22−$28.78
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.3500.275$62.07−$16.93
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0240.058$47.16+$27.16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.0650.065$39.72−$0.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 11:35Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4499999994$80.00
10-28 11:35Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0243860232$20.00
10-28 11:35Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3082437166$1.1k
10-28 11:34Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0484374876$446.00
10-28 11:33Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.6996656633$1.4k
10-28 11:33US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.73$219.00
10-28 11:33Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.045$9.00
10-28 11:32Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.001$8.68
10-27 23:17Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4299999998$106.00
10-27 23:17Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.67$106.35
10-25 19:05Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?BUY0.1499999994$12.46
10-25 19:04Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.002$1.00
10-25 19:03Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.149999997$5.00
10-25 19:03Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.269999998$26.00
10-25 19:02Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.0899999993$10.00