lizlocks
0x8b1c0755b03ec4a64bc9099c06c133dd72af1ec7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $55.5k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$212.46at 0.076Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?
- +$180.93at 0.410Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
- +$152.50at 0.577Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$93.36at 0.535Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
- +$41.17at 0.566Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 14:33 | Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.1014857143 | $2.84 |
| 08-26 14:22 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $19.76 |
| 08-21 13:11 | Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.0228416821 | $14.80 |
| 08-21 13:05 | Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.2 | $57.80 |
| 08-21 13:04 | Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.21 | $7.98 |
| 08-21 13:03 | Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.64 | $96.64 |
| 08-20 12:37 | Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1799999951 | $26.56 |
| 08-19 12:37 | Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.19 | $16.34 |
| 08-19 12:35 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.0229274647 | $4.71 |
| 08-19 12:34 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.1779999976 | $55.16 |
| 08-19 12:31 | Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.0323285455 | $1.78 |
| 08-18 11:24 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $8.04 |
| 08-18 11:20 | Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.72 |
| 08-18 11:19 | Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.2142292683 | $17.57 |
| 08-18 11:19 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $8.71 |