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Traders

stupid22

0x8afa03dd6974e44d00c4d14dcccb00c0ddf6adb6

Realised P&L
$-100.1k
Volume
$22.80M
Markets traded
827
Open portfolio
$714.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded827
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9190.935$155.7k+$2.6k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No0.9680.992$102.3k+$2.4k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.9830.992$86.3k+$789.37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No0.9300.935$83.4k+$440.21
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8390.855$35.2k+$668.45
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9360.935$28.4k$30.86
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9640.983$22.2k+$428.94
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9750.990$18.8k+$277.52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? · No0.9820.992$15.6k+$149.19
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.9320.977$14.5k+$668.78
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4120.553$12.3k+$3.1k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? · No0.9770.983$10.9k+$68.83
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · No0.9600.973$10.6k+$140.96
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No0.9000.921$10.5k+$240.37
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9160.945$10.5k+$318.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 15:58Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.94$970.16
09-16 12:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September?BUY0.997$0.72
09-16 12:33Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September?BUY0.993$121.25
09-16 07:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?BUY0.974$221.73
09-15 06:41Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.52$2.6k
09-15 06:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.988$3.3k
09-14 12:07US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?BUY0.997$1.4k
09-14 06:50Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.491$12.28
09-14 06:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUY0.95$9.50
09-13 12:24Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.93$157.65
09-13 11:07Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.77$176.33
09-13 11:06Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.48$120.48
09-12 13:45US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?BUY0.974$381.32
09-11 17:14Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.53$132.49
09-11 15:09Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.539$539.00
Trader stupid22 · PolyBot Pro