username90
0x8af2eab334aca0c521fd562148263db73d46b5e7
- Realised P&L
- $-84.14
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $32.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.24at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 23?
- +$3.91at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on April 24?
- +$2.73at 0.134Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$2.45at 0.290Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?
- +$2.45at 0.290Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 19:26 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 2? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 19:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 19:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.27 |
| 05-31 20:37 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 1? | BUY | 0.4699999203 | $1.12 |
| 05-31 20:37 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 20:36 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 30? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 31? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 09:12 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 31? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 09:08 | Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | BUY | 0.0949999211 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 09:06 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1389999087 | $1.20 |
| 05-13 11:37 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 14? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |