bpna
0x8aed61e6cec4ca693ace62ea6c23a5770cf1468f
- Realised P&L
- $5.99
- Volume
- $519.94
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $197.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.19at 0.840Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
- +$1.90at 0.810Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 14:37 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | SELL | 0.992 | $99.16 |
| 07-30 22:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.762 | $30.48 |
| 07-30 22:32 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.63 | $25.20 |
| 07-30 22:32 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 07-27 17:16 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 07-22 12:10 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.77 | $30.80 |
| 07-17 20:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 07-17 20:18 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 07-17 20:17 | Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 07-17 20:15 | Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 07-15 17:23 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 07-15 17:12 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 07-15 17:09 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 07-15 17:08 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 07-15 17:04 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $42.00 |