PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ghezer

0x8ae3ff6424691bd00aab84f2e1ac369d47cdaa71

Realised P&L
$-6.23
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$10.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dogecoin Up or Down on October 6? · Up0.4800.900$1.88+$0.88
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? · Yes0.1500.148$1.73−$0.02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 6? · Yes0.4600.665$1.45+$0.45
Will XRP reach $1.60 in October? · Yes0.6300.690$1.10+$0.10
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? · Yes0.8000.830$1.04+$0.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? · No0.7300.755$1.03+$0.03
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026? · Yes0.5000.480$0.96−$0.04
Will XRP reach $2.00 in October? · Yes0.1100.105$0.95−$0.05
Dogecoin Up or Down on October 6? · Down0.3100.100$0.32−$0.68
Solana Up or Down - October 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Up0.0190.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET · Up0.3820.000$0.00−$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET · Up0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
XRP Up or Down - October 6, 5AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Down0.2450.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 12:12Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?BUY0.1499999957$1.75
10-06 10:48Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETBUY0.5$2.00
10-06 10:46Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETBUY0.25$1.00
10-06 10:42Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETBUY0.0599999988$1.00
10-06 10:39Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-06 10:38NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.78$0.98
10-06 10:35Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.4$2.00
10-06 10:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-06 10:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.59999988$1.00
10-06 10:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETBUY0.16$1.00
10-06 10:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETSELL0.8$3.20
10-06 10:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETBUY0.1899999962$1.00
10-06 10:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETBUY0.25$1.00
10-06 10:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETBUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-06 10:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETBUY0.1699999983$1.00