PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

3479823

0x8ae236c44ff7d8a27b1dd554db4155814e2b1070

Realised P&L
$-239.12
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$499.13

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5600.445$158.93$41.07
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.6800.930$136.76+$36.76
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.4790.415$129.92$20.08
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6080.790$65.01+$15.01
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.7400.032$8.51$191.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 02:46Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.9595947519$117.02
09-08 11:57Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.4791395038$150.00
09-07 01:28Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.8199999938$100.00
09-07 01:23Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?SELL0.99$66.39
08-30 00:15Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.64$50.00
08-29 20:43US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?BUY0.7799999995$100.00
08-29 20:41Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.6799999981$100.00
08-29 20:41Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.7455268388$50.00
08-29 20:40Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.74$199.80
08-29 20:31Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.6075697187$50.00
08-29 20:20Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.559999999$200.00