shizahon
0x8acbb2907eaa31449eade34c2f01de7bd57563b2
- Realised P&L
- $-777.25
- Volume
- $28.5k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $51.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.02at 0.425Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
- +$82.80at 0.540Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$54.00at 0.630US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?
- +$37.53at 0.330Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$34.96at 0.417Spread: Mexico (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 18:56 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.22948 | $14.34 |
| 06-11 18:07 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.7 | $42.00 |
| 06-11 18:06 | Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | BUY | 0.41 | $24.60 |
| 06-11 18:06 | Spread: Mexico (-2.5) | BUY | 0.19 | $11.40 |
| 06-11 18:03 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.13 | $15.60 |
| 06-09 16:53 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 16:52 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 06-06 16:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 03-02 16:11 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.87483174 | $457.54 |
| 03-01 02:13 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.60 |
| 02-28 23:49 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $7.50 |
| 02-28 21:54 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 02-28 21:53 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 02-19 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on February 19? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 02-19 01:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on February 19? | BUY | 0.91 | $25.30 |