PolyBot

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Traders

shizahon

0x8acbb2907eaa31449eade34c2f01de7bd57563b2

Realised P&L
$-777.25
Volume
$28.5k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$51.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.8750.046$24.32$433.22
Will Trump resign before 2027? · Yes0.0700.033$19.50$22.50
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · Yes0.1100.039$7.80$14.20
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) · Mexico0.1900.000$0.00$11.40
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? · No0.1800.000$0.00$9.00
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.0050.000$0.00$14.00
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$9.64
Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8PM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00$2.40
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22? · No0.1300.000$0.00$13.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $108,000 October 27-November 2? · No0.0460.000$0.00$301.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.0150.000$0.00$7.50
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$15.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.3160.000$0.00$3.15
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · No0.1470.000$0.00$22.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 18:56Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.22948$14.34
06-11 18:07Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.7$42.00
06-11 18:06Spread: Mexico (-1.5)BUY0.41$24.60
06-11 18:06Spread: Mexico (-2.5)BUY0.19$11.40
06-11 18:03Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.13$15.60
06-09 16:53Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.16$10.00
06-09 16:52Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.04$10.00
06-06 16:54Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.5799999954$5.00
03-02 16:11Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.87483174$457.54
03-01 02:13Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.004$1.60
02-28 23:49Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.015$7.50
02-28 21:54Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.025$5.00
02-28 21:53Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.025$5.00
02-19 01:15Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on February 19?BUY0.92$46.00
02-19 01:14Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on February 19?BUY0.91$25.30