0x8aa36e5f949ec38abac04f9a00e330fffc4301a7
0x8aa36e5f949ec38abac04f9a00e330fffc4301a7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.74
- Volume
- $213.84
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $1.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.355 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.210 | $0.44 | −$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.79at 0.288Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$3.73at 0.217Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.20at 0.410Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?
- +$1.58at 0.490S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 18:12 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:43 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:47 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:56 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:52 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:20 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:08 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 00:19 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 15:05 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 06:58 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:05 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999095 | $1.49 |
| 09-20 21:53 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999491 | $1.49 |
| 09-19 09:06 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3599999903 | $1.49 |
| 09-15 23:10 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.49 |
| 09-14 13:58 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.2599999651 | $1.49 |