1881aa
0x8a9777a7d3079e208afc08de2ccdf744de78593d
- Realised P&L
- $51.8k
- Volume
- $6.45M
- Markets traded
- 859
- Open portfolio
- $14.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded859
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.6kat 0.758LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$5.0kat 0.780Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$3.8kat 0.942MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$3.1kat 0.856EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$2.8kat 0.891GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 00:31 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.852 | $4.26 |
| 10-31 16:30 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7472787635 | $137.31 |
| 10-31 16:29 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9627614351 | $474.43 |
| 10-30 13:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.9920045914 | $1.1k |
| 10-30 13:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.9912477876 | $336.03 |
| 10-30 13:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $312.84 |
| 10-30 12:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.0k |
| 10-30 10:12 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9217515528 | $148.40 |
| 10-30 10:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $1.2k |
| 10-30 10:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30? | SELL | 0.98 | $245.00 |
| 10-30 10:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $39.83 |
| 10-30 07:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8655921788 | $309.88 |
| 10-30 06:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7725898736 | $336.76 |
| 10-30 06:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.551 | $339.19 |
| 10-30 06:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5772590287 | $1.1k |