jc7
0x8a9593d62c7230120001976fff1090d1a141a40a
- Realised P&L
- $-646.47
- Volume
- $82.4k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $531.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.346 | 0.381 | $330.19 | +$30.19 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.337 | 0.345 | $64.96 | +$1.49 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.578 | 0.585 | $50.63 | +$0.63 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.615 | $43.31 | −$6.69 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? · Yes | 0.468 | 0.396 | $42.31 | −$7.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Up | 0.475 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$242.86at 0.460Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
- +$147.20at 0.280US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$118.33at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
- +$111.55at 0.320Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$107.57at 0.051Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 19:32 | Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3370644801 | $63.47 |
| 09-18 19:31 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | BUY | 0.4679999993 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 19:28 | Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5776892391 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 19:25 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.709999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-12 17:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $144.93 |
| 09-12 17:13 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $46.95 |
| 09-12 17:13 | Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $48.23 |
| 09-12 17:12 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | SELL | 0.9168572451 | $51.25 |
| 09-12 17:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $30.00 |
| 09-05 07:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.475104523 | $25.00 |
| 09-05 07:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8599999739 | $25.00 |
| 09-05 06:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6299999763 | $25.00 |
| 09-05 06:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $26.28 |
| 09-05 06:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $1.17 |
| 09-05 06:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $25.00 |