tr1000
0x8a8bc9920202f24e6bcefdaf21dd9e297d9e375c
- Realised P&L
- $-5.7k
- Volume
- $543.8k
- Markets traded
- 6,202
- Open portfolio
- $51.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,202
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.439Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.889Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?
- +$1.3kat 0.719Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?
- +$831.39at 0.895Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
- +$705.10at 0.843Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 20:30 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | BUY | 0.79 | $141.91 |
| 10-08 20:30 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 10-08 20:29 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | SELL | 0.8083381071 | $761.99 |
| 10-08 17:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.9599999996 | $1.4k |
| 10-08 16:43 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9647731321 | $623.94 |
| 10-08 16:42 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | SELL | 0.996 | $2.1k |
| 10-08 11:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.94 | $500.44 |
| 10-08 10:03 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $467.17 |
| 10-08 10:01 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.9739527788 | $595.66 |
| 10-08 03:26 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.975 | $292.50 |
| 10-08 03:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.9729294965 | $120.20 |
| 10-07 19:52 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.977 | $1.1k |
| 10-07 03:30 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.9835968165 | $1.6k |
| 10-07 03:28 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $621.31 |
| 10-05 10:57 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.4k |