PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

tr1000

0x8a8bc9920202f24e6bcefdaf21dd9e297d9e375c

Realised P&L
$-5.7k
Volume
$543.8k
Markets traded
6,202
Open portfolio
$51.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,202
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6280.845$9.9k+$2.5k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.9390.945$9.2k+$53.69
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · No0.9070.885$6.8k−$170.89
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31? · No0.8930.865$3.6k−$116.16
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? · No0.8600.966$2.7k+$294.88
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? · No0.9170.915$2.1k−$3.75
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes0.9540.940$2.0k−$29.98
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? · Yes0.9750.985$1.9k+$19.17
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? · No0.9150.930$1.8k+$30.25
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? · No0.8900.920$1.8k+$57.80
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.8390.825$1.7k−$28.75
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · No0.7720.765$1.6k−$14.78
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · No0.7740.810$1.4k+$61.07
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? · No0.8600.855$1.4k−$8.00
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) · No0.7730.805$1.2k+$48.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 20:30Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)BUY0.79$141.91
10-08 20:30Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)BUY0.79$7.90
10-08 20:29Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)SELL0.8083381071$761.99
10-08 17:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.9599999996$1.4k
10-08 16:43Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.9647731321$623.94
10-08 16:42US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?SELL0.996$2.1k
10-08 11:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.94$500.44
10-08 10:03US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.84$467.17
10-08 10:01US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.9739527788$595.66
10-08 03:26US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.975$292.50
10-08 03:25US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.9729294965$120.20
10-07 19:52US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.977$1.1k
10-07 03:30US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?BUY0.9835968165$1.6k
10-07 03:28Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.94$621.31
10-05 10:57Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.95$4.4k