PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jdbuffet

0x8a554ec10e6fd05bba36215d17398e57d53e5126

Realised P&L
$116.54
Volume
$72.3k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.5630.565$740.34+$2.34
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? · Yes0.4441.000$608.24+$338.24
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5920.105$357.94−$1.7k
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.2400.225$234.38−$15.62
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.3100.150$189.39−$201.60
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1000.160$159.50+$59.50
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1430.116$129.72−$30.89
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1620.155$107.88−$4.87
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.1930.066$25.63−$49.37
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$25.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00−$250.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00−$150.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 19:51Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1619999998$112.75
10-01 19:49Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.2399999999$250.00
10-01 19:46Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0426586793$25.00
10-01 19:44Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?BUY0.4439053942$270.00
10-01 19:40Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?BUY0.110497263$25.00
10-01 19:40Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?BUY0.3315932535$10.00
10-01 19:39Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?BUY0.7778921603$155.00
08-03 01:26Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.1073832835$150.00
07-27 20:36Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.1429999993$160.61
07-27 20:33Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?BUY0.0718593834$225.00
06-11 02:59Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$25.00
06-11 02:59Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0089999998$50.00
06-11 02:59Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0189999996$50.00
06-11 02:59Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0409999996$100.00
06-11 02:48Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.2350433296$435.26