rplc-crpt
0x8a52221b0662c5a16d866726a8aaf24eeb0e6a3c
- Realised P&L
- $-541.57
- Volume
- $16.1k
- Markets traded
- 255
- Open portfolio
- $507.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded255
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$220.22at 0.559Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$187.27at 0.338Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$93.37at 0.833Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
- +$90.64at 0.042Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
- +$83.55at 0.685Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 19:04 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.037 | $3.70 |
| 10-27 01:53 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9879999998 | $50.26 |
| 10-25 14:37 | Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0729999996 | $1.92 |
| 10-25 14:07 | Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8499999938 | $40.88 |
| 10-23 17:46 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0335872368 | $3.36 |
| 10-23 02:53 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.052 | $5.20 |
| 10-23 02:53 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.052 | $5.20 |
| 10-23 02:52 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0519999997 | $5.84 |
| 10-17 13:48 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.9579999842 | $47.88 |
| 10-12 18:25 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0259999996 | $1.18 |
| 10-10 01:49 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999995 | $6.67 |
| 10-09 10:19 | Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 09:52 | Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.92 | $40.88 |
| 10-05 19:29 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 10-05 16:08 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999918 | $1.41 |