PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

PepsiWarrior

0x8a4e8f6e20b99ae0b05caf1237aeabe184831ba4

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$1.04M
Markets traded
159
Open portfolio
$17.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded159
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.8580.971$3.6k+$419.82
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · No0.2971.000$3.4k+$2.4k
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.6981.000$2.1k+$648.93
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3330.295$1.8k$229.04
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2930.385$1.3k+$312.62
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6000.675$1.1k+$125.00
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6830.625$915.25$84.75
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.6300.395$649.35$386.11
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7350.747$507.68+$7.68
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5000.230$460.00$540.00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2380.095$399.10$600.90
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.3620.365$302.49+$2.49
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3200.075$234.38$765.63
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.2000.175$87.50$12.50
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · No0.1200.105$87.50$12.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 09:35Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.3619996863$300.00
08-02 09:29US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2$100.00
08-02 09:19Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.999$715.94
08-02 05:27Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.6483749622$50.00
08-01 18:35Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.9699999996$2.2k
08-01 18:23Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7245667635$1000.00
08-01 18:17Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6727047857$1000.00
07-30 06:34U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.3299321206$300.00
07-30 06:30U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.2849952546$600.00
07-30 06:29U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.2843233091$100.00
07-30 06:25Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.892613284$1000.00
07-30 00:05Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.8409639615$200.00
07-30 00:02Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.7352089591$500.00
07-30 00:01Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.92$100.00
07-29 23:59Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.8273381184$100.00