PepsiWarrior
0x8a4e8f6e20b99ae0b05caf1237aeabe184831ba4
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $1.10M
- Markets traded
- 176
- Open portfolio
- $7.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded176
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.4kat 0.566Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$4.9kat 0.378Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
- +$4.0kat 0.505Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
- +$3.1kat 0.618US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.297U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 05:52 | Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.8380525751 | $400.00 |
| 09-05 03:05 | Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? | BUY | 0.8291708292 | $500.00 |
| 09-05 03:04 | Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? | BUY | 0.8290575271 | $500.00 |
| 09-05 03:04 | Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.7384476351 | $500.00 |
| 09-05 03:03 | Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.8 | $100.00 |
| 09-05 03:01 | Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | BUY | 0.75 | $1000.00 |
| 08-28 14:05 | Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? | BUY | 0.8487436896 | $1.0k |
| 08-21 13:30 | Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election? | BUY | 0.8599999999 | $1000.00 |
| 08-21 13:28 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.1k |
| 08-21 13:26 | Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election? | BUY | 0.86 | $47.91 |
| 08-21 13:24 | Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.7301586031 | $1000.00 |
| 08-21 13:23 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.7046462612 | $1000.00 |
| 08-21 13:10 | Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? | SELL | 0.85 | $298.35 |
| 08-21 13:02 | Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? | SELL | 0.86 | $257.84 |
| 08-20 02:20 | Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.9157046121 | $1000.00 |