PepsiWarrior
0x8a4e8f6e20b99ae0b05caf1237aeabe184831ba4
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $17.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.4kat 0.566Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$4.9kat 0.378Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
- +$4.1kat 0.495Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
- +$3.1kat 0.618US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.426US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 09:35 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.3619996863 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 09:29 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 09:19 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $715.94 |
| 08-02 05:27 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.6483749622 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 18:35 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.9699999996 | $2.2k |
| 08-01 18:23 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7245667635 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 18:17 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6727047857 | $1000.00 |
| 07-30 06:34 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.3299321206 | $300.00 |
| 07-30 06:30 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.2849952546 | $600.00 |
| 07-30 06:29 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.2843233091 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 06:25 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.892613284 | $1000.00 |
| 07-30 00:05 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.8409639615 | $200.00 |
| 07-30 00:02 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.7352089591 | $500.00 |
| 07-30 00:01 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 23:59 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.8273381184 | $100.00 |