PolyBot

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Traders

PepsiWarrior

0x8a4e8f6e20b99ae0b05caf1237aeabe184831ba4

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$1.10M
Markets traded
176
Open portfolio
$7.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded176
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.3870.840$2.2k+$1.2k
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3330.200$1.2k$802.35
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6000.705$1.2k+$175.00
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6830.595$871.31$128.69
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7350.926$630.09+$130.09
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? · Yes0.8340.850$466.17+$8.86
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.6300.475$439.24$143.21
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3200.085$265.63$734.38
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4550.041$89.01$910.99
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.6400.000$0.00$1.0k
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? · No0.4960.000$0.00$1000.00
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · No0.1200.000$0.00$100.00
Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$1.0k
Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00$500.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00$3.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 05:52Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?BUY0.8380525751$400.00
09-05 03:05Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?BUY0.8291708292$500.00
09-05 03:04Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?BUY0.8290575271$500.00
09-05 03:04Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?BUY0.7384476351$500.00
09-05 03:03Will Stephen Skoly be the RI-02 Republican nominee?BUY0.8$100.00
09-05 03:01Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?BUY0.75$1000.00
08-28 14:05Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?BUY0.8487436896$1.0k
08-21 13:30Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?BUY0.8599999999$1000.00
08-21 13:28Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.32$1.1k
08-21 13:26Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?BUY0.86$47.91
08-21 13:24Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.7301586031$1000.00
08-21 13:23Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.7046462612$1000.00
08-21 13:10Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?SELL0.85$298.35
08-21 13:02Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?SELL0.86$257.84
08-20 02:20Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?BUY0.9157046121$1000.00