itoldu
0x8a2f165f8c3e0265cd05f559834e7b59ca4bb23e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $101.7k
- Markets traded
- 266
- Open portfolio
- $52.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded266
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$514.77at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$70.92at 0.922Jannik Sinner vs. Andrea Pellegrino: Total Sets O/U 2.5
- +$61.76at 0.838Jannik Sinner vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5
- +$51.10at 0.466Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
- +$38.71at 0.893Jannik Sinner vs. Alexei Popyrin: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:13 | Will Colorado have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.08 |
| 09-15 21:35 | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 09-15 20:47 | Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung? | SELL | 0.5 | $8.36 |
| 09-15 19:30 | Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.11 |
| 09-15 19:02 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 09-15 17:52 | Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $19.20 |
| 09-15 16:46 | Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung? | SELL | 0.56 | $0.71 |
| 09-15 15:07 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 14:55 | Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 14:08 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.318 | $6.36 |
| 09-15 14:03 | Will SNSD win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 09-15 11:52 | Will the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 09-15 11:44 | Will Anna Leigh Waters reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 09-15 11:41 | Will Chao Yi Wang / Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-15 10:23 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.62 |