PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8a2D8F73D93aB39f45DacbD4f871C74929F3d3f6-1778229453505

0x8a2d8f73d93ab39f45dacbd4f871c74929f3d3f6

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$20.0k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$16.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6100.695$5.70+$0.70
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1960.221$5.62+$0.62
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1500.135$4.50$0.50
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? · Yes0.2300.045$0.98$4.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Down0.3790.000$0.00$5.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET · Down0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw? · Yes0.3590.000$0.00$10.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.4750.000$0.00$256.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.6300.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET · Up0.6300.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET · Down0.3360.000$0.00$250.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 15:27Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?SELL0.09$5.13
06-02 13:45Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.7199999965$25.00
06-02 13:45Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.6715551923$100.00
06-02 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.64$5.00
06-02 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.64$5.00
06-02 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.64$5.00
06-02 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.6099999756$5.00
06-02 13:36Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.7299999994$25.00
06-02 13:36Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.7199999965$25.00
06-02 13:36Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.85$25.00
06-02 13:32Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETBUY0.6594399738$100.00
05-26 11:30Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0339999993$50.00
05-25 14:46Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.5199999908$25.00
05-25 14:46Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.5199999983$100.00
05-25 14:44Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.1437577614$53.02