predvictor
0x8a12115cf56ca38e4252617c1e9237a7ba09862f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.97
- Volume
- $133.32
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $4.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.775 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| GTA VI released by November 30? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.947 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.495 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.430 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.28at 0.780Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?
- +$0.24at 0.670Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$0.20at 0.836Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.13at 0.910US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$0.12at 0.840Will MrBeast hit 118.5 billion views by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 06:57 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 06:54 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:45 | GTA VI released by November 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:41 | Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1089999991 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:37 | Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:37 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:33 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9209994317 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 05:28 | Will MrBeast hit 118.5 billion views by April 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.12 |
| 04-04 12:17 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04? | BUY | 0.64 | $0.98 |
| 04-02 10:34 | Will MrBeast hit 118.5 billion views by April 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 04-02 04:01 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.974 | $2.13 |
| 04-01 18:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.24 |
| 03-31 04:30 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 03-30 06:43 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 03-29 04:39 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |