PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

predvictor

0x8a12115cf56ca38e4252617c1e9237a7ba09862f

Realised P&L
$-2.97
Volume
$133.32
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$4.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.5600.775$1.38+$0.38
GTA VI released by November 30? · Yes0.9000.947$1.05+$0.05
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.5200.495$0.95−$0.05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.5000.430$0.86−$0.14
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026? · No0.1090.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 06:57Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
10-05 06:54Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
09-16 19:45GTA VI released by November 30?BUY0.9$1.00
09-16 19:41Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1089999991$1.00
09-16 19:37Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-16 19:37Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
09-16 19:33Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.9209994317$1.00
04-07 05:28Will MrBeast hit 118.5 billion views by April 30?SELL0.94$1.12
04-04 12:17Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?BUY0.64$0.98
04-02 10:34Will MrBeast hit 118.5 billion views by April 30?BUY0.84$1.00
04-02 04:01US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.974$2.13
04-01 18:41Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.83$1.24
03-31 04:30Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?BUY0.7$1.00
03-30 06:43US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.91$1.00
03-29 04:39Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?BUY0.78$1.00