funpredict
0x8a069e7e77f7158e37435d57ab0d0726995c4726
- Realised P&L
- $-137.45
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 298
- Open portfolio
- $103.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded298
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.42at 0.335Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$17.00at 0.575Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$13.63at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
- +$10.26at 0.573Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$6.44at 0.639Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 22:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-08 06:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1714285518 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 04:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999367 | $2.90 |
| 09-08 03:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-08 02:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 09-08 01:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 09-07 23:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 09-07 22:22 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.7004053524 | $3.65 |
| 09-07 22:13 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 09-07 21:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-07 21:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 20:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999922 | $3.90 |
| 09-07 20:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.669999965 | $3.45 |
| 09-07 20:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.25 |
| 09-07 19:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5999999607 | $3.05 |