0x89fe5f84dc05b371dc93fc1b97a4550668eb0ad4
- Realised P&L
- $-82.32
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 391
- Open portfolio
- $1.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded391
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · No | 0.950 | 0.966 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Volkan Oezdemir be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.006 | $0.07 | −$0.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.53at 0.473Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on April 24?
- +$21.47at 0.476Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$20.15at 0.383Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Sergey Fomin
- +$19.40at 0.409XRP Up or Down - April 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
- +$19.32at 0.489Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 09:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 16:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 16:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 16:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 16:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 16:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 16:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 16:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 16:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 16:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.46 | $0.00 |
| 06-23 16:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 16:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.46 | $0.01 |
| 06-23 16:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 07:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 07:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |