PolyBot

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Traders

NorwaysBigDog

0x89a387d46eadbfd4605607313a9554edccec0ebf

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$96.9k
Markets traded
2,055
Open portfolio
$82.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,055
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will global temperature increase by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026? · No0.6800.895$17.90+$4.30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election? · Yes0.6200.590$11.80−$0.60
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 3%-6%? · Yes0.2100.305$6.10+$1.90
Blue wave in 2026? · Yes0.7300.905$5.43+$1.05
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? · Yes0.1250.058$5.41−$6.34
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.3060.259$5.18−$0.94
Blue wave in 2026? · No0.2800.095$4.94−$9.62
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,000,000 and 8,250,000? · Yes0.1900.206$4.12+$0.32
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 35%-40%? · Yes0.2660.154$2.95−$2.15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 9%-12%? · Yes0.1600.140$2.80−$0.40
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 65%-70%? · Yes0.1500.140$2.80−$0.20
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 6%-9%? · Yes0.1910.132$2.63−$1.19
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 30%-35%? · Yes0.3000.120$2.40−$3.60
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.1030.114$2.28+$0.22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 35%-40%? · Yes0.1700.115$1.87−$0.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 05:00Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 9?SELL0.086355$3.45
10-09 05:00Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 9?SELL0.41$3.67
10-09 05:00Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 9?SELL0.2$0.40
10-09 03:00Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 9?SELL0.37$6.02
10-09 03:00Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 9?SELL0.32$1.54
10-09 03:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 9?SELL0.17$1.51
10-08 22:01Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 9?SELL0.28$2.50
10-08 21:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 9?SELL0.02$0.08
10-08 21:00Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9?SELL0.39$0.83
10-08 21:00Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 9?SELL0.11$0.38
10-08 20:00Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on October 9?SELL0.28$0.88
10-08 20:00Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 9?SELL0.1$1.39
10-08 20:00Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 9?SELL0.42$1.21
10-08 15:00Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 9?SELL0.13$2.60
10-08 10:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9?SELL0.2252576236$2.14