NorwaysBigDog
0x89a387d46eadbfd4605607313a9554edccec0ebf
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $96.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,055
- Open portfolio
- $82.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,055
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.10at 0.221Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
- +$111.86at 0.269Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$106.46at 0.352Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET
- +$96.28at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
- +$92.69at 0.381Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.086355 | $3.45 |
| 10-09 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 9? | SELL | 0.41 | $3.67 |
| 10-09 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.40 |
| 10-09 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.37 | $6.02 |
| 10-09 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 9? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.54 |
| 10-09 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 9? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.51 |
| 10-08 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.50 |
| 10-08 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.08 |
| 10-08 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.39 | $0.83 |
| 10-08 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.38 |
| 10-08 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.88 |
| 10-08 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.39 |
| 10-08 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.21 |
| 10-08 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 10-08 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.2252576236 | $2.14 |