jaym0
0x89a1f6337a907d8464ceeb7dcc1348959f2a4739
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $325.2k
- Markets traded
- 275
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded275
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$508.21at 0.810Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$337.26at 0.436NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning
- +$205.05at 0.569NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights
- +$147.15at 0.715Another Canada election called by June 30?
- +$97.88at 0.924Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 23:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999993 | $200.00 |
| 08-19 03:38 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8529999999 | $1000.00 |
| 08-19 03:37 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.9151200353 | $549.06 |
| 08-14 04:38 | Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | SELL | 0.11 | $84.55 |
| 08-11 13:46 | Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | BUY | 0.5148514834 | $50.00 |
| 08-11 13:45 | Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.5393346103 | $53.50 |
| 08-11 13:44 | New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 16:20 | Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | SELL | 0.12 | $165.69 |
| 08-06 16:19 | Will the Ottawa Senators be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.0209951286 | $21.55 |
| 08-05 17:50 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8599999998 | $500.00 |
| 08-04 17:40 | Will the Utah Mammoth be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.02 | $16.53 |
| 08-04 15:49 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | SELL | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 08-04 15:48 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.86 | $500.00 |
| 08-04 15:47 | Will the Ottawa Senators be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.019 | $5.79 |
| 08-04 15:45 | Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $12.15 |