PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2d3f970753E2E4919FEF9Cd17F63aB63786c878d-1769237710646

0x898fe3ed1c838853cdb84bad3ef9be343dc900bd

Realised P&L
$-152.79
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$120.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.2101.000$23.81+$18.81
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31? · No0.5910.750$19.05+$4.05
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5100.795$15.59+$5.59
Israel election: will Likud lose seats? · Yes0.8001.000$12.50+$2.50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2800.345$9.86+$1.86
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5390.411$7.63−$2.37
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3750.403$7.51+$0.51
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.2600.380$7.31+$2.31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1400.175$6.25+$1.25
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2600.275$5.29+$0.29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.0600.034$2.79−$2.21
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1600.043$2.66−$7.34
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026? · No0.1300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? · No0.5680.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 19:21Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.967$11.14
10-13 19:55Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.16$10.00
10-04 14:05Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.4499999944$4.00
10-01 19:34Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?SELL0.75$4.88
10-01 12:29Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?BUY0.7599999877$4.95
10-01 12:29US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.0599999995$5.00
10-01 12:28US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?SELL0.05$10.00
09-30 07:36Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.6799998909$3.99
09-30 07:36Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.5299999399$3.00
09-30 07:35Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.1175152206$5.00
09-30 07:35Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.5599999642$5.00
09-30 07:34Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?BUY0.590578299$15.00
09-30 07:31Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-30 07:30Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.5099999776$10.00
09-30 07:26Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5445544366$10.00