PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x2d3f970753E2E4919FEF9Cd17F63aB63786c878d-1769237710646

0x898fe3ed1c838853cdb84bad3ef9be343dc900bd

Realised P&L
$-154.88
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$65.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel election: will Likud lose seats? · Yes0.8000.935$11.69+$1.69
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.0500.055$11.00+$1.00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5390.502$9.32$0.68
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2800.305$8.71+$0.71
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3750.360$6.73$0.27
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2600.255$4.90$0.10
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.2600.245$4.71$0.29
Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.2100.185$4.40$0.60
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.2500.035$2.07$12.93
Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4100.105$1.28$3.72
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? · Yes0.1040.011$1.11$9.89
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026? · No0.1300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? · No0.5680.000$0.00$10.00
Israel closes its airspace by July 24? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 09:37Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
09-10 09:35Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2799999958$8.00
09-10 09:35Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5389999912$10.00
09-10 09:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?BUY0.2599999964$10.00
09-10 09:31Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3749999933$7.00
08-31 14:19US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.05$10.00
08-31 14:18Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1296111555$10.00
08-31 14:16Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
08-31 14:16Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?BUY0.2599999646$5.00
08-31 14:15Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.2599999646$5.00
08-23 06:08Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?SELL0.92$5.47
08-02 03:43Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?SELL0.0636$4.77
08-02 03:42Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?SELL0.9778882353$11.64
08-02 03:42Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?SELL0.21$16.58
08-02 03:40Israel closes its airspace by August 31?SELL0.1292295637$41.23