0x2d3f970753E2E4919FEF9Cd17F63aB63786c878d-1769237710646
0x898fe3ed1c838853cdb84bad3ef9be343dc900bd
- Realised P&L
- $-152.79
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $120.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.36at 0.544Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?
- +$6.97at 0.594Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.21at 0.620Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$4.05at 0.616Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$2.82at 0.268Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 19:21 | Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.967 | $11.14 |
| 10-13 19:55 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 14:05 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $4.00 |
| 10-01 19:34 | Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned? | SELL | 0.75 | $4.88 |
| 10-01 12:29 | Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned? | BUY | 0.7599999877 | $4.95 |
| 10-01 12:29 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 12:28 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 07:36 | Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.6799998909 | $3.99 |
| 09-30 07:36 | Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.5299999399 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 07:35 | Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1175152206 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 07:35 | Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 07:34 | Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31? | BUY | 0.590578299 | $15.00 |
| 09-30 07:31 | Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:30 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 07:26 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5445544366 | $10.00 |