0x2d3f970753E2E4919FEF9Cd17F63aB63786c878d-1769237710646
0x898fe3ed1c838853cdb84bad3ef9be343dc900bd
- Realised P&L
- $-154.88
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $65.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.97at 0.594Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.21at 0.620Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$1.64at 0.840Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?
- +$0.48at 0.840Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
- +$-10.23at 0.200Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 09:37 | Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 09:35 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999958 | $8.00 |
| 09-10 09:35 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5389999912 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 09:34 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 09:31 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3749999933 | $7.00 |
| 08-31 14:19 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 08-31 14:18 | Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1296111555 | $10.00 |
| 08-31 14:16 | Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 14:16 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 14:15 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 06:08 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | SELL | 0.92 | $5.47 |
| 08-02 03:43 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.0636 | $4.77 |
| 08-02 03:42 | Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? | SELL | 0.9778882353 | $11.64 |
| 08-02 03:42 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $16.58 |
| 08-02 03:40 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | SELL | 0.1292295637 | $41.23 |