PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8985f5c4caaa0ee6ccdf71084bb9a9d41115abd5

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$8.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Nothing Ever Happens: October · Nothing0.9300.996$4.98+$0.33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.5300.385$1.96−$0.74
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.3300.285$1.12−$0.18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 11:20Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberBUY0.93$4.65
10-04 01:53Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.52$2.65
10-04 01:53Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.5299999607$2.70
10-04 01:52Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.5299999607$2.70
10-04 01:51Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.3599999848$1.90
10-03 10:58Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?SELL0.74$3.71
10-03 10:56Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?BUY0.76$1.30
10-03 10:55Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?BUY0.7599999595$1.50
10-03 10:48Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?BUY0.7599998495$1.01
10-03 10:36Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?SELL0.74$7.33
10-03 10:35Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?BUY0.76$3.80
09-22 05:28Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?SELL0.996$3.77
09-16 20:18Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$3.75
09-13 11:42Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.934999863$3.55
09-13 11:41Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?BUY0.5499999898$2.70