PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

olehivna

0x8946affd6a8710cfd4f7e70d3906f32d679b1089

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$15.5k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$884.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x China tariff agreement by October 31? · Yes0.8670.890$360.28+$9.38
US x China tariff agreement by September 30? · Yes0.8200.815$149.75$0.92
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.0610.064$127.20+$4.85
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.0730.065$90.93$11.03
Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.9160.330$53.74$95.43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0800.065$49.31$11.38
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.685$34.08+$0.25
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5200.385$18.95$6.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 12:58China PR vs. Maldives: O/U 2.5SELL0.99$389.07
09-24 12:58China PR vs. Maldives: O/U 2.5BUY0.981043257$385.55
09-24 01:48US x China tariff agreement by October 31?BUY0.8668338705$350.90
09-23 23:24US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.08$39.80
09-23 23:05US x China tariff agreement by September 30?BUY0.819999996$81.55
09-23 23:00US x China tariff agreement by September 30?BUY0.8199999993$69.12
09-23 20:18Bahamas vs. Saint-Martin: O/U 3.5SELL0.64$5.67
09-23 20:16Bahamas vs. Saint-Martin: O/U 3.5BUY0.6099999628$5.41
09-23 13:00Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.976772248$49.72
09-23 13:00Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8883086313$99.45
09-23 02:34US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.08$20.89
09-22 19:27Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9900864828$881.52
09-22 19:27US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.992$985.51
09-22 08:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.0639837943$55.67
09-22 02:42Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.064$28.31