UfArseny1354
0x89416fe250ed7044468491a6247ba95f6837b02c
- Realised P&L
- $-33.21
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $17.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.97at 0.255Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$7.63at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.24at 0.323Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$5.13at 0.836Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$4.23at 0.587Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 08:57 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3469999655 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 21:29 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.6799999547 | $3.00 |
| 09-08 21:07 | Will VfB Stuttgart win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0047551117 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 20:56 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 20:52 | Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0266639014 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 09:45 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.2493077555 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 13:51 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 13:47 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 13:46 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.5299997376 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 22:23 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 22:22 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 22:21 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3569999381 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 22:21 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 21:58 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:42 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.24 |