PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

UfArseny1354

0x89416fe250ed7044468491a6247ba95f6837b02c

Realised P&L
$-33.21
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$17.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3570.560$4.71+$1.71
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3470.366$3.17+$0.17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3770.512$2.72+$0.72
Will VfB Stuttgart win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0050.004$1.89$0.11
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.245$1.81$0.19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2290.162$1.41$0.59
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1200.043$0.71$1.29
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0020.001$0.50$1.50
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4100.085$0.41$1.59
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$2.00
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$2.00
Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany0.5000.000$0.00$2.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 14? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$1.00
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$2.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 08:57Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3469999655$3.00
09-12 21:29US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaBUY0.6799999547$3.00
09-08 21:07Will VfB Stuttgart win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.0047551117$2.00
09-08 20:56Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.002$2.00
09-08 20:52Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.0266639014$2.00
09-06 09:45Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.2493077555$3.00
07-24 13:51Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.54$1.00
07-24 13:47Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.479999952$2.00
07-24 13:46Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.5299997376$2.00
07-19 22:23Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
07-19 22:22Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.16$2.00
07-19 22:21Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3569999381$3.00
07-19 22:21Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.119999952$2.00
07-19 21:58Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-19 21:42Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.11$1.24