0x890030e12228435185237D977541B63b52a04d52-1777128993151
0x890030e12228435185237d977541b63b52a04d52
- Realised P&L
- $-582.40
- Volume
- $119.5k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$703.22at 0.369Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$365.53at 0.934Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$157.23at 0.865Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$152.13at 0.876US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
- +$135.68at 0.130Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:58 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $192.00 |
| 11-01 23:46 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $780.00 |
| 11-01 23:21 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $355.00 |
| 11-01 23:16 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $300.00 |
| 11-01 23:11 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $355.00 |
| 11-01 22:40 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.71 | $355.00 |
| 11-01 22:29 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $375.00 |
| 11-01 22:26 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 11-01 22:24 | Blue wave in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $460.00 |
| 11-01 21:38 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.25 |
| 11-01 19:30 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $790.00 |
| 11-01 19:25 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $360.00 |
| 11-01 19:23 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $695.60 |
| 11-01 15:48 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $347.80 |
| 11-01 11:37 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $15.00 |