0x88f0c6e549fa75856b5c91f55f441a33b9e196de
0x88f0c6e549fa75856b5c91f55f441a33b9e196de
- Realised P&L
- $-6.7k
- Volume
- $76.0k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $8.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$575.92at 0.152Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
- +$296.25at 0.259Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$104.08at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26?
- +$11.11at 0.900Will Trump say "America" or "American" 15+ times during Iowa speech?
- +$4.04at 0.957Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 18:19 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.082 | $1.7k |
| 06-25 18:19 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.055 | $63.95 |
| 06-25 18:19 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.138 | $878.99 |
| 06-09 08:01 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.2599999985 | $100.00 |
| 06-08 07:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4392397157 | $550.00 |
| 05-18 03:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0899999992 | $100.00 |
| 05-17 15:59 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.0226213881 | $100.00 |
| 05-08 15:22 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0939999992 | $100.00 |
| 05-08 15:21 | Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? | BUY | 0.1472031392 | $100.00 |
| 05-08 15:20 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $100.00 |
| 05-08 05:51 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 05-08 05:36 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0974630076 | $200.00 |
| 04-28 16:32 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 04-09 07:47 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0859999993 | $100.00 |
| 04-09 07:46 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1569990595 | $1000.00 |