0xDD43A63ac29708F403b73943BEA37085c93d7845-1768429129831
0x88e4396363c2d8c11aaa344b5ccb65d9232f938a
- Realised P&L
- $93.84
- Volume
- $600.72
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $284.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.707 | 0.700 | $282.86 | −$2.67 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.699 | 0.013 | $1.95 | −$103.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.84at 0.632UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:38 | Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7127872205 | $148.59 |
| 10-24 23:43 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.6988401955 | $105.00 |
| 10-13 02:58 | Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $136.94 |
| 10-13 02:56 | UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6199999992 | $158.00 |