wisestwol
0x88e3476f07ee09a9dbfd5b3980fedd49f118e426
- Realised P&L
- $-35.28
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $973.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.73at 0.424 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$74.31at 0.039Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
- +$29.18at 0.477Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?
- +$18.47at 0.440Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
- +$15.84at 0.227Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 04:32 | Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.1095450214 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 21:28 | Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 10-18 01:20 | Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | SELL | 0.38 | $4.42 |
| 09-29 15:49 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.3 | $7.19 |
| 09-06 23:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 09-06 23:20 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 08-26 17:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.11 | $0.58 |
| 08-24 19:57 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 19:57 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 18:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $9.30 |
| 07-13 19:16 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $19.36 |
| 07-13 04:14 | Trump signs housing bill by end of July? | SELL | 0.991 | $18.74 |
| 07-09 00:34 | Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0389999815 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 00:32 | Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0384236468 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 17:38 | Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |