liuruijin
0x88b3426bf74d59d838406de3e25872c7537bbad4
- Realised P&L
- $677.35
- Volume
- $209.2k
- Markets traded
- 595
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded595
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.805US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
- +$878.71at 0.561Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$374.01at 0.858US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$190.24at 0.876Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$170.38at 0.952US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 13:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 09-14 13:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4294 | $21.47 |
| 09-14 13:26 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.48 | $14.88 |
| 09-14 13:26 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.38 | $18.14 |
| 09-14 13:26 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 08-28 12:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 08-28 12:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 08-28 12:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | SELL | 0.023 | $1.15 |
| 08-26 13:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.17 | $8.50 |
| 08-26 13:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $32.00 |
| 08-26 13:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | SELL | 0.964 | $48.20 |
| 08-26 12:58 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.62 | $19.22 |
| 08-26 12:57 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.67 | $33.50 |
| 08-26 12:44 | Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.1064023969 | $4.62 |
| 08-26 12:43 | Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |