fedtaco121
0x88aafa68e62ff436a8ed3de8502fdc40904e6a6e
- Realised P&L
- $-65.87
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.262 | 0.275 | $2.9k | +$132.79 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.245 | $191.94 | −$8.06 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.290 | 0.295 | $101.72 | +$1.72 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.285 | $86.36 | −$13.64 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 08:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.2552880211 | $200.00 |
| 10-31 08:19 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 08:16 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.2k |
| 10-31 08:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2799999999 | $734.00 |
| 10-29 20:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2274366468 | $800.00 |
| 10-29 12:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2 | $681.12 |
| 10-29 12:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.22 | $500.00 |
| 10-29 12:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999995 | $22.00 |
| 10-29 12:29 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 12:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $25.00 |
| 10-29 08:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $200.00 |