chillion
0x88a25823e02e210bd784b418a02371998e4868a0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $83.0k
- Markets traded
- 394
- Open portfolio
- $689.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded394
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.138 | 0.140 | $182.00 | +$2.29 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.379 | 0.145 | $145.00 | −$234.33 |
| Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.500 | 1.000 | $109.94 | +$54.95 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.185 | $89.81 | −$31.55 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.115 | $63.25 | −$46.75 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.178 | 0.065 | $32.59 | −$56.93 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.065 | $32.50 | −$17.50 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.296 | 0.165 | $21.45 | −$17.07 |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.065 | $13.00 | −$6.35 |
| Incheon United FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$238.66at 0.280Daegu Pegasus vs. Goyang
- +$179.03at 0.201Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
- +$173.64at 0.450Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5
- +$129.74at 0.351France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$123.00at 0.385England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 09:59 | Incheon United FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $56.40 |
| 09-20 09:57 | Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $55.00 |
| 09-20 06:35 | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $48.00 |
| 09-20 01:25 | Nashville SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.47 | $51.70 |
| 09-19 14:16 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 11:02 | Montedio Yamagata vs. Kataller Toyama: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $57.20 |
| 09-13 08:53 | Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.42 | $50.40 |
| 09-12 14:43 | RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.38 | $57.00 |
| 09-09 14:00 | Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $44.00 |
| 09-09 13:58 | Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.43 | $43.00 |
| 09-09 13:56 | FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.48 | $38.40 |
| 09-08 07:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $54.45 |
| 09-08 07:17 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 09-05 13:59 | Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.48 | $28.80 |
| 09-02 10:00 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $31.23 |