PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

chillion

0x88a25823e02e210bd784b418a02371998e4868a0

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$83.0k
Markets traded
394
Open portfolio
$689.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded394
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1380.140$182.00+$2.29
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3790.145$145.00$234.33
Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5001.000$109.94+$54.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.185$89.81$31.55
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.115$63.25$46.75
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1780.065$32.59$56.93
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1000.065$32.50$17.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2960.165$21.45$17.07
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? · Yes0.0970.065$13.00$6.35
Incheon United FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4700.000$0.00$56.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 09:59Incheon United FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.47$56.40
09-20 09:57Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5BUY0.5$55.00
09-20 06:35Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.32$48.00
09-20 01:25Nashville SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersBUY0.47$51.70
09-19 14:16Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersBUY0.5$20.00
09-19 11:02Montedio Yamagata vs. Kataller Toyama: O/U 1.5BUY0.52$57.20
09-13 08:53Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5BUY0.42$50.40
09-12 14:43RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersBUY0.38$57.00
09-09 14:00Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5BUY0.4$44.00
09-09 13:58Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 10.5 Total CornersBUY0.43$43.00
09-09 13:56FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 10.5 Total CornersBUY0.48$38.40
09-08 07:17Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$54.45
09-08 07:17Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.1$0.50
09-05 13:59Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersBUY0.48$28.80
09-02 10:00Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 3.5BUY0.43$31.23