psfsgrdvs
0x88714944119af69b712140405ae608c702601869
- Realised P&L
- $73.40
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $772.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.987 | 0.998 | $295.41 | +$3.26 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes | 0.970 | 1.000 | $159.92 | +$4.72 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 21 above $130? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $155.30 | −$0.55 |
| Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $79.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $72.67 | −$0.26 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 21 above $110? · No | 0.990 | 0.986 | $9.86 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.84at 0.964Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.59at 0.959Will Ethena reach $0.28 in June?
- +$3.75at 0.947Will Ethena reach $0.24 in July?
- +$3.55at 0.944Will Ethena reach $0.24 in June?
- +$3.00at 0.987Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 03:42 | Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.9975623169 | $80.00 |
| 09-21 03:41 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $72.93 |
| 09-21 03:40 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 21 above $110? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-21 03:40 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 21 above $130? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 09-13 00:45 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.85 |
| 09-13 00:44 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 14 above $1.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.94 |
| 09-13 00:43 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 14 above $0.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.94 |
| 09-13 00:43 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.94 |
| 09-13 00:43 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.94 |
| 09-10 05:39 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 7 above $5.50? | BUY | 0.9988829431 | $320.00 |
| 09-06 01:48 | Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $227.77 |
| 09-04 22:54 | Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $66.97 |
| 09-04 22:53 | Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-04 22:53 | Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9980953647 | $63.00 |
| 09-02 07:05 | Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $165.83 |