psfsgrdvs
0x88714944119af69b712140405ae608c702601869
- Realised P&L
- $68.85
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $549.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.988 | 0.991 | $198.10 | +$0.50 |
| Trump out as President by August 31? · No | 0.990 | 0.993 | $161.78 | +$0.41 |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? · No | 0.996 | 0.995 | $149.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Solana dip to $0 August 3-9? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.09 |
| Will Solana reach $140 August 3-9? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.09 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.40 August 3-9? · No | 0.990 | 0.999 | $9.99 | +$0.09 |
| Will XRP reach $1.70 August 3-9? · No | 0.990 | 0.996 | $9.96 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.84at 0.964Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.92at 0.956Will Ethena reach $0.28 in June?
- +$4.01at 0.943Will Ethena reach $0.24 in July?
- +$3.80at 0.940Will Ethena reach $0.24 in June?
- +$3.00at 0.987Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:33 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? | BUY | 0.995741499 | $150.00 |
| 08-03 05:31 | Will Solana reach $140 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-03 05:31 | Will Solana dip to $0 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-03 05:30 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-03 05:30 | Will XRP reach $1.70 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-02 18:35 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $159.84 |
| 08-01 19:14 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.25 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.9899141546 | $125.00 |
| 08-01 19:10 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.10 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $12.83 |
| 08-01 04:36 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 3 above $110? | BUY | 0.99 | $64.35 |
| 07-24 22:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 07-24 22:40 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $53.01 |
| 07-21 09:29 | Will CZ post 180-199 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9988267928 | $173.00 |
| 07-21 09:15 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.50 in July? | BUY | 0.987 | $137.19 |
| 07-21 09:03 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.60 in July? | BUY | 0.9899580526 | $236.00 |
| 07-17 02:13 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of July 13 above $170? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |