1500chan
0x8868041209d720d0e90737f7d71045036c86ec09
- Realised P&L
- $-22.6k
- Volume
- $1.19M
- Markets traded
- 459
- Open portfolio
- $614.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded459
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.9kat 0.140Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
- +$8.7kat 0.427Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
- +$8.2kat 0.160Will England win on 2026-06-23?
- +$7.9kat 0.330Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?
- +$7.1kat 0.578Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 12:22 | Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.5 | $39.28 |
| 09-23 09:19 | Counter-Strike: paiN vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A | BUY | 0.6297385725 | $394.57 |
| 09-23 08:52 | LoL: Galions vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D | BUY | 0.79 | $400.06 |
| 09-23 08:43 | Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Arcade Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.88 | $135.32 |
| 09-23 08:37 | Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6663137314 | $267.52 |
| 09-22 16:27 | LoL: Bubliki vs ØTF (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D | BUY | 0.58 | $7.54 |
| 09-22 16:21 | LoL: The Otter Side vs Team Aqua ASD - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |
| 09-22 16:17 | LoL: The Otter Side vs Team Aqua ASD - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |
| 09-22 10:36 | Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Unsettled Resentment (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.87 | $67.29 |
| 09-22 10:27 | Counter-Strike: maybe vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #7 Group D | BUY | 0.7589186047 | $45.69 |
| 09-22 10:22 | Counter-Strike: maybe vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #7 Group D | BUY | 0.7754613807 | $90.76 |
| 09-22 10:21 | Counter-Strike: maybe vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #7 Group D | BUY | 0.75 | $18.75 |
| 09-22 00:59 | LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B | BUY | 0.5 | $100.31 |
| 09-22 00:58 | LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B | BUY | 0.5 | $100.31 |
| 09-22 00:58 | LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B | BUY | 0.5 | $100.31 |