BA2027
0x885b7f3e301d3d174a4ee209fce453a777383e82
- Realised P&L
- $18.32
- Volume
- $75.1k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $585.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.143 | 0.399 | $399.00 | +$255.70 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.133 | $60.19 | +$9.09 |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? · No | 0.100 | 0.107 | $54.57 | +$3.57 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.205 | $51.25 | +$1.25 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No | 0.052 | 0.038 | $19.37 | −$7.09 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.005 | $1.12 | −$0.91 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.92 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.94at 0.030Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$66.55at 0.009Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$35.88at 0.110Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
- +$31.78at 0.750Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
- +$10.00at 0.050Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 06:39 | Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.00 |
| 09-12 04:31 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 10:12 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.0290509347 | $5.70 |
| 08-25 09:53 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SELL | 0.02 | $20.55 |
| 08-24 17:31 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2737602513 | $8.28 |
| 08-24 17:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.275 | $27.50 |
| 08-15 10:38 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.099 | $15.10 |
| 08-12 06:53 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SELL | 0.041 | $36.17 |
| 08-11 08:33 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.47 |
| 08-11 08:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.209 | $20.90 |
| 08-08 04:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.37 |
| 08-06 19:30 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $12.26 |
| 08-06 19:29 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SELL | 0.045 | $45.00 |
| 07-31 09:10 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 06:00 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0464413408 | $0.83 |