0x8846c87cEd05cf75f7E7B2Fb15ADc05683079Fd7-1769801242526
0x8846c87ced05cf75f7e7b2fb15adc05683079fd7
- Realised P&L
- $0.88
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $488.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.49at 0.590Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$64.84at 0.705Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$61.43at 0.140Kristi Noem out by March 31?
- +$51.41at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
- +$31.71at 0.741Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 21:49 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 21:49 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 21:46 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year? | BUY | 0.2719999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 21:46 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year? | BUY | 0.2709999927 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 08:56 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 15:45 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0048176055 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 15:40 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8799999789 | $20.00 |
| 08-22 15:39 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9669999594 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 23:27 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 23:27 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3789999569 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 23:27 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2899999681 | $6.00 |
| 07-19 18:32 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 06-07 23:55 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0389999635 | $1.00 |
| 06-07 23:54 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.15 | $13.63 |
| 05-28 12:23 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1669999764 | $5.00 |