PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xeb0b0aAdBDccec788De9677F386d044523B8841B-1761320816465

0x87ee87f573a6ab675f56d6279daf4f5448456919

Realised P&L
$18.83
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$227.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9150.945$132.20+$4.20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9520.981$51.52+$1.52
Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes0.7280.590$12.96$3.04
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9500.967$10.18+$0.18
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · No0.4400.775$9.30+$4.02
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.7700.495$5.94$3.30
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? · No0.9470.973$4.87+$0.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1PM ET · Up0.9000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2PM ET · Down0.3700.000$0.00$3.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down0.1000.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3PM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00$11.91
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? · No0.0800.000$0.00$0.40
Bitcoin above 65,200 on June 22, 12PM ET? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 15:15Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.67$4.00
07-30 09:54Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.72$7.20
07-23 20:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.1$3.00
07-23 19:38Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3PM ETSELL0.46$3.60
07-23 19:35Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3PM ETBUY0.5499999908$11.91
07-23 19:34Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3PM ETSELL0.36$1.80
07-23 19:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3PM ETBUY0.3899999774$5.00
07-23 18:04Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2PM ETBUY0.37$3.70
07-23 17:46Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1PM ETBUY0.9$5.00
07-22 10:32Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.95$19.00
07-22 10:260 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?BUY0.947$4.73
07-19 15:39US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.91$4.55
07-18 07:51US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?BUY0.992$9.92
07-18 07:11US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?BUY0.993$14.89
07-16 16:05Will Trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by July 17?BUY0.4899998285$1.00