0xeb0b0aAdBDccec788De9677F386d044523B8841B-1761320816465
0x87ee87f573a6ab675f56d6279daf4f5448456919
- Realised P&L
- $18.83
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $227.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.54at 0.452Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$10.12at 0.613Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
- +$8.12at 0.670Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 22?
- +$4.89at 0.754Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?
- +$3.06at 0.620Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 15:15 | Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $4.00 |
| 07-30 09:54 | Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 07-23 20:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 07-23 19:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3PM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $3.60 |
| 07-23 19:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999908 | $11.91 |
| 07-23 19:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3PM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 07-23 19:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 18:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 07-23 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 10:32 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 07-22 10:26 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | BUY | 0.947 | $4.73 |
| 07-19 15:39 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 07-18 07:51 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? | BUY | 0.992 | $9.92 |
| 07-18 07:11 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18? | BUY | 0.993 | $14.89 |
| 07-16 16:05 | Will Trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by July 17? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |