PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dghw

0x87d79fee7c292821a3b35cd13993de4d6c4dfdbf

Realised P&L
$-510.62
Volume
$189.9k
Markets traded
296
Open portfolio
$140.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded296
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1900.235$47.00+$9.00
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.5800.605$30.25+$1.25
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · No0.4100.325$16.32−$4.27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6800.655$14.23−$0.54
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries · Dallas Wings0.2870.275$10.86−$0.49
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves · Philadelphia Phillies0.5000.495$10.00−$0.10
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces · Indiana Fever0.3700.345$9.45−$0.68
Will Albania win on 2026-10-03? · No0.6800.685$2.14+$0.02
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.2800.017$0.06−$0.94
Will Karrigan retire by June 30? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00−$3.33
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$13.00
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$17.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2130.000$0.00−$21.77
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt? · No0.9530.000$0.00−$653.41
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.7300.000$0.00−$61.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 08:05Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9378196$46.89
10-01 06:04Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.5$10.10
10-01 05:04Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas AcesBUY0.37$10.13
10-01 00:04Dallas Wings vs. Golden State ValkyriesBUY0.27$1.35
09-27 10:52Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?SELL0.984$1.00
09-27 06:40Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?SELL0.39$0.31
09-25 06:55Will Denmark win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.32$16.00
09-16 16:13Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? SELL0.933$23.84
09-16 15:43Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.2$10.00
09-15 11:41Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.19$7.60
09-14 23:29Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.19$7.60
09-14 22:54Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.19$7.60
09-14 22:41Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.19$7.60
09-14 21:46Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.19$7.60
09-14 13:55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.17$6.80