PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Po1yBot-6NEazyE4Ef

0x87d1d4198017f86f327c150c73cdd9ac89e33da3

Realised P&L
$452.50
Volume
$38.8k
Markets traded
323
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded323
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7560.795$239.70+$11.61
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7680.410$222.42$194.16
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.1470.590$160.90+$120.71
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5470.770$100.52+$29.04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.5960.515$94.78$14.82
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · No0.5740.680$89.38+$13.88
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · No0.5880.660$82.37+$8.96
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5900.635$75.34+$5.34
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · No0.7851.000$63.41+$13.58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7130.715$55.79+$0.16
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8770.924$54.73+$2.78
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.6910.605$54.40$7.74
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.5800.680$54.23+$7.94
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.2540.395$50.65+$18.08
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.5470.770$49.95+$14.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:23Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?SELL0.87$3.54
08-03 03:01US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?SELL0.14$0.37
08-02 22:32US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.44$0.44
08-02 22:32US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.44$0.40
08-02 22:29US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.44$0.22
08-02 22:28US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.44$0.89
08-02 22:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.44$8.91
08-02 22:27US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.44$0.80
08-02 22:25US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.43$0.34
08-02 22:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.43$0.43
08-02 22:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.43$0.02
08-02 22:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.43$1.33
08-02 22:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.43$0.78
08-02 22:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.43$1.34
08-02 22:07US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.6466147596$19.10