weishemme
0x87d15411aefdb55739d38e87d7b719aa7a89ad8c
- Realised P&L
- $10.70
- Volume
- $8.0k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $13.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $11.31 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.730 | $2.21 | −$0.03 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $126,000 and $128,000 on October 13? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.898 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.93at 0.580Bulls vs. Hornets
- +$1.43at 0.522Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5
- +$0.81at 0.996US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
- +$0.59at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$0.41at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 11:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.30 |
| 10-18 11:38 | Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399997621 | $2.24 |
| 09-20 14:03 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.50 |
| 09-20 13:55 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $1.53 |
| 09-20 13:50 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.10 |
| 08-04 09:50 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.10 |
| 07-23 09:13 | Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.10 |
| 06-12 03:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 03:44 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9989993613 | $1.22 |
| 06-12 03:44 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? | BUY | 0.967999986 | $1.11 |
| 06-12 03:44 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8979996121 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 03:44 | Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 03:44 | Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.10 |
| 06-12 03:43 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.23 |
| 06-12 03:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.11 |