0x87ce4af9f12a6011c7ffd8b2bfa23520e3617dbe
- Realised P&L
- $-79.60
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $25.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.300 | $11.54 | +$6.54 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.893 | 0.961 | $5.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.943 | $4.97 | −$0.04 |
| Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.033 | $3.14 | −$6.86 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $0.83 | −$9.17 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies · Michigan State Spartans | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.81 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) · Ilia Topuria | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19? · Yes | 0.637 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.63 |
| Bills vs. Texans · Texans | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.78at 0.568St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils
- +$3.23at 0.630Kraken vs. Avalanche
- +$2.21at 0.760Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$1.65at 0.007Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.11at 0.930Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 00:25 | Bills vs. Texans | BUY | 0.4799999721 | $5.50 |
| 08-11 00:57 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.949999962 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 20:03 | Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1006522264 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 15:40 | Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1101657395 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 19:27 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 00:04 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.941 | $5.02 |
| 06-18 01:14 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3499999918 | $15.00 |
| 06-18 01:14 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.9309998496 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 02:26 | UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 12:02 | Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.008 | $5.83 |
| 06-08 02:50 | US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | SELL | 0.74 | $5.06 |
| 06-06 12:14 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $10.31 |
| 06-05 02:47 | US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 11:35 | UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 00:00 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $5.65 |