0x87a03D317877070c6E7D6b3a353038Acbc6BD806-1767818993772
0x87a03d317877070c6e7d6b3a353038acbc6bd806
- Realised P&L
- $496.11
- Volume
- $40.7k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $523.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$667.98at 0.065Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
- +$306.63at 0.047US bank failure by January 31?
- +$245.32at 0.449Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$198.47at 0.341Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?
- +$148.35at 0.403Canada recession before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 20:10 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.8370536339 | $400.00 |
| 09-14 15:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? | BUY | 0.0559999996 | $6.00 |
| 09-13 15:38 | Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by September 30? | BUY | 0.7944494256 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 15:37 | Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31? | BUY | 0.9181636725 | $200.00 |
| 09-13 15:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? | BUY | 0.0469934366 | $60.00 |
| 09-13 15:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.3699999958 | $15.00 |
| 09-13 15:31 | Will BMO fail by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0479185385 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 15:30 | Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 15:29 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in September? | BUY | 0.0546875 | $70.00 |
| 08-20 21:02 | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.0346454094 | $22.00 |
| 08-20 20:59 | US bank failure by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $40.00 |
| 08-20 15:58 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.7759649778 | $100.00 |
| 08-07 22:08 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in August? | BUY | 0.3782426826 | $100.00 |
| 08-07 22:00 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.8799999951 | $100.00 |
| 08-07 21:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $40.00 |