PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x87a03D317877070c6E7D6b3a353038Acbc6BD806-1767818993772

0x87a03d317877070c6e7d6b3a353038acbc6bd806

Realised P&L
$496.11
Volume
$40.7k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$523.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31? · No0.9180.576$125.36−$74.64
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8800.955$108.52+$8.52
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.7640.560$88.00−$32.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2300.147$64.14−$35.86
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.2080.150$28.86−$11.14
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8500.975$22.93+$2.93
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.955$22.74+$2.74
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.9000.955$21.22+$1.22
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.0350.030$19.05−$2.95
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.4450.159$7.15−$12.85
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · Yes0.0700.019$5.57−$14.43
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1500.040$5.33−$14.67
Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026? · Yes0.0300.026$2.60−$0.40
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.036$1.47−$9.53
Will BMO fail by end of 2026? · Yes0.0480.015$0.94−$2.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 20:10Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.8370536339$400.00
09-14 15:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?BUY0.0559999996$6.00
09-13 15:38Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by September 30?BUY0.7944494256$50.00
09-13 15:37Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?BUY0.9181636725$200.00
09-13 15:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?BUY0.0469934366$60.00
09-13 15:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.3699999958$15.00
09-13 15:31Will BMO fail by end of 2026?BUY0.0479185385$3.00
09-13 15:30Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?BUY0.03$3.00
09-13 15:29Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in September?BUY0.0546875$70.00
08-20 21:02Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.0346454094$22.00
08-20 20:59US bank failure by December 31, 2026?BUY0.52$40.00
08-20 15:58Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?BUY0.7759649778$100.00
08-07 22:08Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in August?BUY0.3782426826$100.00
08-07 22:00Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.8799999951$100.00
08-07 21:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?BUY0.6599999954$40.00