PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x873cdD83eed38612B83c37dED16B93872Bb3EfE5-1772287768358

0x873cdd83eed38612b83c37ded16b93872bb3efe5

Realised P&L
$-248.57
Volume
$60.1k
Markets traded
517
Open portfolio
$13.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded517
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.1670.136$4.08$0.92
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0160.018$1.06+$0.09
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0130.011$0.88$0.12
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.015$0.67$0.33
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0130.017$0.66+$0.17
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.005$0.50$0.41
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.0500.021$0.43$0.57
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.1380.070$0.36$0.35
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0380.051$0.35+$0.09
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · Yes0.2320.065$0.28$0.72
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0250.028$0.28+$0.03
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1000.028$0.28$0.72
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · No0.1300.035$0.27$0.73
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0140.004$0.23$0.70
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0180.018$0.21$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-20 01:01Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?SELL0.013$0.76
04-19 12:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
04-19 12:18Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?SELL0.24$0.53
04-19 12:17Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.115$0.93
04-12 15:33Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?SELL0.014$0.88
04-08 02:33Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?BUY0.2$1.00
04-08 02:31US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?BUY0.001$1.00
04-08 02:31US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.004$1.00
04-07 11:59Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.008$0.80
04-07 11:59Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.011$0.86
04-03 03:11Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.1899998784$0.88
04-02 10:12Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?BUY0.0034625289$1.00
04-02 10:12Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?BUY0.014905351$1.00
04-02 10:09Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
03-30 12:08Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETSELL0.4$3.26