0x873cdD83eed38612B83c37dED16B93872Bb3EfE5-1772287768358
0x873cdd83eed38612b83c37ded16b93872bb3efe5
- Realised P&L
- $-248.57
- Volume
- $60.1k
- Markets traded
- 517
- Open portfolio
- $13.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded517
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.78at 0.438Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
- +$25.45at 0.323Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
- +$19.43at 0.438Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
- +$17.60at 0.120Dogecoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
- +$17.60at 0.120Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20 01:01 | Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.76 |
| 04-19 12:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 04-19 12:18 | Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.53 |
| 04-19 12:17 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.115 | $0.93 |
| 04-12 15:33 | Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.88 |
| 04-08 02:33 | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 02:31 | US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 02:31 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 11:59 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.80 |
| 04-07 11:59 | Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.86 |
| 04-03 03:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $0.88 |
| 04-02 10:12 | Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3? | BUY | 0.0034625289 | $1.00 |
| 04-02 10:12 | Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3? | BUY | 0.014905351 | $1.00 |
| 04-02 10:09 | Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 03-30 12:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $3.26 |