0x8730E96BfC0506F6179E0ca66C5d62D5bBEf0904-1789418180958
0x8730e96bfc0506f6179e0ca66c5d62d5bbef0904
- Realised P&L
- $-27.84
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $12.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 20? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.485 | $4.28 | +$1.28 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on September 20? · No | 0.100 | 0.090 | $2.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 22? · Yes | 0.226 | 0.206 | $2.60 | −$0.25 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on September 21? · No | 0.150 | 0.115 | $2.05 | −$0.62 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 20? · No | 0.140 | 0.038 | $0.42 | −$1.12 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 20? · No | 0.050 | 0.009 | $0.21 | −$0.97 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 15? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.22 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.48 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.48at 0.242Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 19?
- +$1.52at 0.148Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 19?
- +$0.62at 0.830Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17?
- +$0.33at 0.901Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 17?
- +$-0.99at 0.106Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:04 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on September 21? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.67 |
| 09-18 11:59 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on September 20? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 08:19 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 22? | BUY | 0.2259999905 | $2.85 |
| 09-18 08:19 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on September 21? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.48 |
| 09-18 07:43 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on September 21? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 07:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 19? | SELL | 0.45 | $5.87 |
| 09-18 05:11 | Will the price of Solana be above $95 on September 20? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 09-18 03:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 20? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.54 |
| 09-18 03:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 19? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.31 |
| 09-18 03:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.3399999773 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 03:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 19? | SELL | 0.29 | $3.46 |
| 09-18 01:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 20? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.27 |
| 09-17 23:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.18 |
| 09-17 23:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 21? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.57 |
| 09-17 22:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.82 |