0x872E0B272A382555b38da0f84AF413b8b3b5e58f-1770896008022
0x872e0b272a382555b38da0f84af413b8b3b5e58f
- Realised P&L
- $-10.0k
- Volume
- $459.6k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.150Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.5kat 0.300US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.423Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
- +$2.6kat 0.253Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$2.2kat 0.312Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 16:49 | Will Israel win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.36 | $961.34 |
| 09-21 09:48 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $94.32 |
| 09-21 09:43 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999994 | $130.00 |
| 09-21 09:40 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.2416221512 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 09:36 | Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999997 | $250.00 |
| 09-21 09:32 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.424725126 | $200.00 |
| 09-21 09:31 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.358154644 | $250.00 |
| 09-21 09:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.369999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 09:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.369999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 09:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.369999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 09:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999981 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 09:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2097902096 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 09:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1991465146 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 09:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 09:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.494378423 | $100.00 |