PolyBot

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Traders

0x8725c11ca8B9b8743eeb391A39BcA846a90b9F91-1781439878508

0x8725c11ca8b9b8743eeb391a39bca846a90b9f91

Realised P&L
$-17.04
Volume
$636.56
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$7.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0470.038$3.25−$0.75
Will NewJeans release a song in 2026? · Yes0.8800.485$1.10−$0.90
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.6160.621$1.01+$0.01
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? · Yes0.2600.235$0.90−$0.10
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7870.699$0.89−$0.11
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 10? · Down0.4100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week? · No0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30? · No0.2670.000$0.00−$6.00
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 20:11Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6159998571$1.00
10-02 11:36Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0431795877$1.00
09-20 14:37OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?BUY0.2689999362$1.00
09-20 14:37OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?BUY0.2665958304$5.00
09-20 14:35Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0389999995$2.00
09-13 11:41Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-10 19:11Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?BUY0.8699999851$7.00
09-10 19:09Will NewJeans release a song in 2026?BUY0.8799997184$2.00
09-10 19:09Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?BUY0.87$4.00
09-10 03:01Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
08-17 16:40Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.0126202439$1.00
08-17 16:40Will "Minions" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.0127693536$1.00
08-17 06:19Will "In the Land of Saints and Sinners" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
08-17 06:18Will "The Last House" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.0289999724$1.00
08-17 06:18Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.032$1.00